The ban on live fire was issued in five maritime areas off the coast of China: Taiwan was on alert, but the training did not surround the island.

From the South China Sea to the Northeast Liaoning, live fire notices prohibiting ships from entering five maritime areas within a week continued. > 12 October, when the Taiwan Defense Minister, Kwok Lih Hung, stated in the Legislative Council that the military was continuing to conduct training activities, the most recent one being outside the Zhejiang Sea. He stressed that Taiwan must make extensive predictions of possible military action. Although the announcement overlapped with the tense situation in the Taiwan Strait, no area of fire was directly surrounding Taiwan ' s island; They are called the blockade that has been activated and misread military and shipping information.

Starting on 8 October, the Chinese Maritime Authority issued a navigational warning covering five maritime areas. The circular provides for a specific period of time for the prohibition of entry of ships and extends to this week. The preliminary test was conducted in part for the training of coastal artillery and associated forces in shooting. The military significance depends not only on the use of live ammunition but also on the location, duration, subject and the presence of cross-military synergies; These factors determine whether the exercise is part of routine training, political deterrence or larger operations.

Five restricted areas are not the same as a blockade

The navigational notices are more precise than the war slogan. The five ban announcements of the Chinese maritime sector cover different coastal waters, most recently in Zhejiang, not in the vicinity of Taiwan. The notification of the voyage first sets out the time and coordinates of the restricted access of civilian vessels and does not automatically prove that the Navy is in the process of implementing the blockade. The judgement of Koo Li Hung on 12 October for these trainings remains dominated by the Coast Guards; There is a clear difference between military vigilance and the war that has already taken place. The actual cost of response in Taiwan is to keep track of coordinates, notify merchant ships and fishing vessels and assess whether decentralized training has resulted in continuous operations, which can be tested against routine military and shipping records.

The Chinese military has conducted long-standing training in coastal waters and the issuance of a ban on navigation by the maritime authorities is in itself a safety procedure for navigation. The location was scattered and partly remote from Taiwan and therefore no specific plan to attack Taiwan could be directly announced. However, the training is wide-ranging and the military in Taiwan must allocate surveillance and intelligence resources; Such a fragmentation may also place an extraordinary burden on the defence sector when military pressure on the station becomes a norm.

In response to the journalist, Gu Lih Hung stated that the preliminary assessment was a related fire by a coastal artillery, while indicating that the military would remain closely following the change. This distinction is important: the defence services are monitoring and does not mean that it has been confirmed that the Chinese army is fighting for land landings or blockades. Military journalism should preserve this de facto line for the public.

Why political language will warm up with the shooting announcement

In his speech on October 10, Taiwan President Reddingd emphasized the importance of peace, the protection of freedom and the strengthening of defence capabilities. Beijing criticized him for promoting division and opposing external interference. The political implications of live fire must be understood in a context of conflicting claims by both sides to the status of Taiwan.

The United States had also previously criticized China ' s activities in the eastern sea of Taiwan, fearing that the naval police, the naval militia and the hybrid operation of civilian vessels could threaten regional stability. However, the activities of vessels in eastern Taiwan are not the same as those of the Chinese coastal shooting circular this week and cannot be combined in the absence of joint command evidence.

The coastal ban announcements first affect shipping and fishing activities; The long-term consequence of military pressure is that Taiwan is forced to continue to invest in surveillance and emergency preparedness. The public can further compare the coordinates of the five prohibited waters, the duration of the period, daily information from the Taiwan military and the re-routing of commercial shipping. The real impact of the Beijing military operation on Taiwan's security and regional transport can be seen through a reviewable space data, rather than an unproven war exercise.